(Apologies for cross post from NEMETODE meteor group, but does concern 1P/Halley)
 
Modeling the past and future activity of the Halleyids meteor showers by the U of Western Ontario team.
- Auriane Egal, Paul Wiegert, Peter G. Brown, Margaret Campbell-Brown, Denis Vida

A&A pre-print at https://arxiv.org/abs/2008.03589

Presents a new numerical model of the eta-Aquariid and Orionid meteor showers.

"The extension of our model to future years predicts no significant Orionid outburst through 2050 and four significant eta-Aquariid outbursts in 2023, 2024, 2045 and 2046."

Stay safe & go well!
Jeremy